LI Qing, YANG Siqi, CHEN Songlu, SUN Menglei, LIN Jinhui, ZHANG Xiaofeng, LIU Yan
Metallurgical Industry Automation.
Accepted: 2025-02-20
The prediction of the endpoint carbon content and molten steel temperature in converter steelmaking is of great significance for the precise control of molten steel composition and temperature and the improvement of product quality. Due to the high dimension, high noise and strong nonlinearity of the converter steelmaking process data, it is difficult to obtain high-quality data. Direct modeling not only has a low hit rate but also is prone to overfitting. To address this problem, this paper proposes a random forest prediction model based on adaptive SMOTE data enhancement technology was proposed. Firstly, the feature selection of the endpoint carbon content and molten steel temperature iswas performed by recursive elimination method. Secondly, the adaptive SMOTE algorithm iswas used to enhance the original data. Finally, random forest iswas used to predict the endpoint carbon content and molten steel temperature respectively. The actual industrial data shows that the prediction hit rate of the end-point carbon content within the target error value ±0.02% is 88.9%, and the prediction hit rate of the end-point molten steel temperature within the target error value ±20°C is 92.3%, which is significantly improved, and provides a reference for end point prediction and control of converter steelmaking.